French government collapses after MPs oust prime minister in confidence vote
France's parliament brought down the government on Monday over its plans to tame the ballooning national debt, deepening a political crisis that is weakening the euro zone's second-largest economy.
Lawmakers
voted to oust Prime Minister Francois Bayrou and his minority
government with 364 votes against the veteran centrist politician and
194 in his favour.
President
Emmanuel Macron, who is facing calls from the opposition to dissolve
parliament and resign, will instead hunt for his fifth prime minister in
less than two years. His office said he would appoint one in the next
few days.
The next government's most pressing task
will be to pass a budget, the same challenge Francois Bayrou faced when
he took office nine months ago. Securing the backing of a very divided
parliament will be equally hard.
"You
have the power to bring down the government, but you do not have the
power to erase reality," Bayrou told lawmakers before losing the
confidence vote.
"Reality
will remain relentless: expenses will continue to rise, and the burden
of debt, already unbearable, will grow heavier and more costly," he
said.
Bayrou will tender his resignation on Tuesday, his office said.
He had called the confidence vote
to try to win parliamentary support for his strategy to lower a deficit
that stands at nearly double the European Union's 3% ceiling, and to
start tackling a debt pile equivalent to 114% of GDP.
But
opposition parties were in little mood to rally behind his planned
savings of 44 billion euros ($51.51 billion) in next year's budget, with
an election for Macron's successor looming in 2027.
"This
moment marks the end of the agony of a phantom government," far-right
leader Marine Le Pen said, pushing for a snap parliamentary election,
which Macron has so far ruled out.
"Macron
is now on the front line facing the people. He too must go," Jean-Luc
Melenchon, leader of the hard-left France Unbowed, said on X.
WHO'S NEXT?
A
lengthy period of political and fiscal uncertainty risks undermining
Macron's influence in Europe at a time when the United States is talking
tough on trade and security, and war is raging in Ukraine on Europe's eastern flank.
The
French president could now nominate a politician from his own centrist
minority ruling group or from the ranks of conservatives as the next
premier, but that would mean doubling down on a strategy that has failed
to yield a stable alliance.
He also could tack to the left and nominate a moderate socialist, or choose a technocrat.
No
scenario would be likely to hand the next government a parliamentary
majority. It was inevitable that the need to form a new government would
result in a dilution of the deficit reduction plan, Finance Minister
Eric Lombard said before the vote.
Macron
may eventually decide the only path out of the crisis lies in calling a
snap election, but he has so far resisted calls from Le Pen's National
Rally and from France Unbowed to dissolve parliament a second time.
FISCAL MESS
Financial markets
had anticipated the confidence vote would fail and there was little
immediate reaction on Monday. French markets face another test on
Friday, when Fitch Ratings reviews its sovereign rating for France. Moody's and S&P Global follow with their own rating reviews in October and November.
"Over
the near-term, I'm sure everyone in markets expects paralysis and
downward pressure on ratings," said Chris Scicluna, head of economic
research for Daiwa Capital Markets. As for now, "the outcome was as
expected, so markets should react in a modest way."
France's EU peers will be watching closely.
France
holds the highest deficit as a percentage of GDP in the euro zone - the
bloc using the EU's single currency. It pays more to service its debt
than Spain and spreads against benchmark German 10-year bonds are at
their highest level in four months.
A
rating downgrade would hamper France's ability to raise money at low
interest rates from investors, potentially deepening its debt problems.
The
Socialists have offered a counter-budget that would impose a tax of at
least 2% on personal wealth greater than 100 million euros ($117.5
million) and generate savings of 22 billion euros - a proposal that
would be tough to marry with the pro-business reform agenda of Macron's
presidency.
Discontent
may also start brewing on the streets. A grassroots protest movement
called "Bloquons Tout" ("Let's Block Everything") is calling for
nationwide disruption on Wednesday. Trade unions are plotting walkouts
the week after.
Like
many in France, Mohamed, 80, who sells produce at the Aligre market in
Paris, doesn't think the politicians will find a way out.
"Come back in 10 days and you'll see nothing will have changed. There won't be a majority, there will be no budget."

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