A solution to the Cyprus problem would bring enormous economic
advantages to Cyprus, a study published on Wednesday by the research
centre PRIO suggests, calling it a “peace dividend”.
The report argues that the economic potential of Cyprus is currently
held back by a range of factors that the division of the island
amplifies.
It also adds that the economies of both the Greek Cypriot and the
Turkish Cypriot communities are currently suffering from a lack of
competitiveness that is caused, among others, by high and volatile
energy costs, poor public transport and weak governance amplified by the
absence of checks and balances as a result of the Cyprus problem.
It is no surprise, according to the report, that Cyprus is behind its
regional peers in productivity, as the division of the island is
preventing the country from being able to grow.
A solution of the Cyprus problem would also open up €650 billion
coming from Turkey to the island, especially for sectors such as
tourism, professional services, shipping and, over the longer term, to
higher education.
The authors of the report also expect a potential solution could
attract EU funds for the upgrading of ports, airports and other
infrastructure in the country and would entail faster and more lucrative
exploitation of natural gas, at a time when the opportunity for
exploiting natural gas is closing because of the rapidly increasing
global competition from renewable energy sources.
Especially regarding airline routes, planes from Paphos and Larnaca
would be able to fly directly to Istanbul, one of the most important
connection hubs in the world, and airports in the north would be
officially recognised, resulting in more tourists able to fly directly
to the island.
Overall, according to the report, a solution would boost average
incomes domestic product (GDP) per capita by between €6,800 and €11,000
compared to a scenario with no solution.
Moreover, the overall GDP would increase by between roughly €11 billion to €17.4 billion after 20 years.
The conclusions of the study suggest that the peace dividend in the
best of cases could bring to Cyprus a total of €17.4 billion.
Source: Cyprus Mail
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